Canadian Cannabis Sales Growth Plunges

Statistics Canada released June retail sales for the country, with cannabis sales decreasing from the May levels, down 2.8% to C$402.0 million. On a per-day basis, sales sales increased 0.4%. May, originally reported at C$434.5 million, was revised much lower to C$413.6 million. The sales were down 8.2% from a year ago. This was down from the 19.8% August growth rate and below the prior lowest annual  growth rate (flat in April 2024 and down 0.5% in May after being revised lower) since legalization commenced.  In 2023, total sales increased 12.5% to C$5.09 billion, and in 2024 they have decreased just 0.2% from a year ago.

An increase in the number of stores as well as falling flower prices that bring consumers from the illicit market have been boosting sales. In Ontario, the largest province in population, sales were up 2.1% from May and down 12% from a year ago. Alberta, which is the second-largest province, was down 14.4% from May and down 11% from a year ago. Quebec was up 1.8% from May and up 19% from a year ago, while British Columbia was up 0.1.1% from May as it fell 15% from a year ago.

Hifyre IQ had forecast June sales at C$421.9 million based upon its data, so this was far below the estimate. The data analytics provider has been estimating July sales to be  6.9% higher, which would be 12.2% above the actual actual June level and up 1.0% from a year ago, based upon its data. Hifyre estimates sales outside of flower and pre-rolls at 30.5% in June and 29.9% in July.

The July sales data will be released on September 20th.

Exclusive article by Alan Brochstein, CFA
Alan Brochstein, CFA
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as founder of online community 420 Investor, the first and still largest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before shifting his focus to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst following over two decades in research and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 at Seeking Alpha, where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and a frequent source to the media, including the NY Times, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Business, and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Email

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